Exponential Moving Average (EMA)



An EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is a popular trend indicator in trading. It reacts faster to price changes than a Simple Moving Average (SMA) by giving more weight to recent prices. Traders use EMAs to identify trends and reversals through crossovers. When a fast EMA crosses above a slow EMA, it signals a buy as a bullish trend may start. Conversely, a fast EMA crossing below a slow EMA indicates a sell signal, suggesting a bearish trend.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are mostly used as a secondary confirmation of the market trend in 4-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes.

Conclusion & Analysis

As a recommendation for trading, this strategy can be used on the following timeframes:

– General: EMA 50 / EMA 100
– 1 Hour: EMA 3 / EMA 10
– 4 Hours: EMA 8 / EMA 24

Using Exponential Moving Averages as a trading strategy, after conducting backtesting, the results are not very encouraging.
This and other similar strategies are too slow (MACD, Bollinger Bands, etc), resulting in late entry and exit points. The shorter the trading fractal, the larger the error in trading with slow signals, leading to very small gains and large losses for the trader.
In a bullish market, the risk is lower, but in a bearish or sideways market, the trader tends to incur significant losses.